Breeders’ Cup predictions for Del Mar this weekend

3 years ago 279

Predictions? You privation predictions for this weekend’s 38th moving of the Breeders’ Cup, which is being held astatine Del Mar for conscionable the 2nd time?

My archetypal prediction is that it won’t beryllium agelong earlier the way dubbed “Where the Turf Meets the Surf” hosts its 3rd Breeders’ Cup if these adjacent 2 days spell disconnected arsenic smoothly arsenic Del Mar’s debut twelvemonth arsenic big successful 2017.

The upwind was great, the racing was adjacent amended and it meant much than $100 cardinal to the section economy.

Here are a fewer different forecasts to bash with what you wish:

• You mightiness beryllium bushed of proceeding his name, but don’t beryllium amazed if Irad Ortiz Jr. wins his 4th consecutive Bill Shoemaker Award arsenic the outstanding jockey.

We’re inactive waiting for the Breeders’ Cup folks to grant trainers with their ain award, 1 that would person gone to Brad Cox past twelvemonth erstwhile helium won 4 races implicit the 2 days astatine Keeneland, but we’ll prevention that for different column.

Ortiz is acceptable to thrust Life Is Good, the 4-5 morning-line favourite successful the Dirt Mile; Letruska, the 8-5 prime successful the Distaff; and Golden Pal (7-2) successful the Turf Sprint. That’s 3 unrecorded horses, and Ortiz has shown during the past 3 Breeders’ Cups that helium doesn’t miss often connected those.

Joel Rosario volition beryllium successful the premix for the grant arsenic well, riding Juvenile Fillies favourite Echo Zulu (4-5) and Jackie’s Warrior (6-5) successful the Sprint.

• There are 3 odds-on morning-line favorites, but lone 2 volition win.If Gamine, 3-5 successful the Filly and Mare Sprint, breaks, she’ll beryllium agelong gone. She’s easy the apical pistillate sprinter successful the nation.

Life Is Good volition triumph the Dirt Mile, but Echo Zulu volition travel up abbreviated successful the Juvenile Fillies. I similar the Brad Cox-trained Juju’s Map to propulsion disconnected a mild upset.

• Bob Baffert, astatine 17 Breeders’ Cup victories looking to drawback D. Wayne Lukas’ grounds 20, volition travel distant with 2 victories this twelvemonth and autumn abbreviated of matching his bully friend.

Along with Gamine, Corniche volition instrumentality the Juvenile from his disadvantageous No. 12 post. Mike Smith volition find a mode to get it done.

• Don’t slumber connected Dr. Schivel successful the Sprint. Jackie’s Warrior is going to beryllium pugnacious to beat, but the bully Doctor drew a cozy extracurricular station and helium likes Del Mar. It wouldn’t astonishment maine if helium upsets the favorite.

• There’s speed, velocity and much velocity successful Saturday’s $6 million Classic, which means euphony to the ears of immoderate of the closers. Is Knicks Go, 7 for 7 astir 2 turns, up to the task of staving disconnected situation aft situation and holding connected successful the stretch?

My Classic prime is Essential Quality, who could easy beryllium unbeaten successful 9 races if not for a nightmarish travel successful this year’s Kentucky Derby that led to a fourth-place finish. It says present he’ll beryllium 9 for 10 aft Saturday acknowledgment to a stellar thrust by Luis Saez.

• The astir sound Saturday volition beryllium made by the members of Boat Racing, 5 erstwhile Brown shot players who ain a stock of Hot Rod Charlie, 4-1 connected the greeting enactment successful the Classic.

Talk astir exuberance. Even if he’s good beaten successful the agelong (he won’t be), they’ll beryllium heard large and wide determination astatine Del Mar.

• One of Friday’s 3 juvenile turf races volition nutrient a longshot winner. Trying to handicap 2-year-olds connected the turf, with galore of the horses coming from overseas, is akin to trying to fig retired what the Dodgers’ hierarchy was reasoning erstwhile they made immoderate of those puzzling postseason pitching moves.

But support an oculus connected trainer Wesley Ward’s trio successful the Juvenile Turf Sprint. He does precise good with turf sprinters.

• My sentimental prime successful the Mile is Mo Forza. The precocious Barry Abrams, who trained the colt’s dam’s sire, Unusual Heat, loved Mo Forza arsenic overmuch arsenic helium did his beloved Lakers.

Abrams’ brother, David, is convinced that Barry helped get Mo Forza to the decorativeness enactment successful his past 2 victories erstwhile helium looked beaten, and helium mightiness beryllium right.

“Last successful his past 2 races, that’s Barry bringing him home,” David said.

Better person plentifulness of insubstantial successful the winner’s ellipse Saturday if helium gets the occupation done.

• The astir awesome victor of the 2 days volition beryllium Life Is Good successful the Dirt Mile. He could easy person been entered successful the Classic, but his connections opted to instrumentality the blimpish way and look tougher contention later.

Ginobili successful his existent form, and implicit a way helium likes, is going to beryllium a handful, but Life Is Good is simply a antithetic animal.

Follow Art Wilson connected Twitter @Sham73

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